Keith's Atheneum
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Tag: probability
4 items with this tag.
Date
Title
Tags
Jun 09, 2026
non-ergodicity why average outcomes dont apply to you
general-notes
statistics
risk
ergodicity
probability
trading
Jun 09, 2026
expected value is not enough why edge needs variance control
general-notes
probability
expected-value
edge
trading
risk
Jan 20, 2023
the statistics of edge expected value and the trap of small samples
general-notes
statistics
probability
edge
EV
sample-size
monte-carlo
Mar 22, 2022
non ergodicity and path dependence why averages lie
thoughtpieces
probability
statistics
risk
philosophy
tail-risk