ai is scarily good at guessing the location of random photos and the cost of defaults

ref www.schneier.com AI Is Scarily Good at Guessing the Location of Random Photos 2023-12-31

When ai is scarily good at guessing the location of random photos hit, the obvious story was the headline. The less obvious story is the boundary it moves. I’m using the source as a reference point, not a full explanation (source).

see also: Model Behavior · LLMs

the pivot

The visible change is obvious; the deeper change is the permission it creates. I read this as a reset in expectations for teams like Model Behavior and LLMs. Once expectations shift, the fallback path becomes the policy.

field notes

  • What looks like a surface change is actually a control move.
  • The first order win is clarity; the second order cost is optionality.
  • The way ai is scarily good at guessing the location of random photos is framed compresses complexity into a single promise.

signal braid

  • Signal: procurement and compliance are quietly shaping the outcome.
  • Signal: the rollout path is designed for institutional buyers.
  • Signal: incentives now favor stability over novelty.
  • Noise: early excitement won’t survive the next budget cycle.

timing

Short term, this looks like a capability win. Mid term, it becomes a budgeting and compliance question. Long term, the dominant path is whichever reduces coordination cost.

my take

I see this as a real signal with a short half life. Move fast, but don’t calcify.

default drift constraint signal

linkage

linkage tree
  • tags
    • #tech-journal
    • #ai
    • #2023
  • related
    • [[LLMs]]
    • [[Model Behavior]]